Chapter 9 – Estimation

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Cambridge IGCSE & O Level Mathematics
Chapter 9

Estimation

Round accurately, estimate intelligently and choose a sensible level of precision. The aim is not just to get an approximate answer, but to know whether that answer is reasonable.

By the end of this chapter, you should be able to

  • make sensible estimates of lengths using familiar benchmarks;
  • round values to a stated number of decimal places;
  • round values to a stated number of significant figures;
  • estimate calculations by replacing values with convenient approximations;
  • judge whether an estimate is likely to be above or below the exact value;
  • choose convenient approximations for division and square roots;
  • state answers to a sensible degree of accuracy for the context.
1

Subtopic 1

Estimating lengths

An estimate should be realistic rather than exact. Compare an unknown length with a familiar length, then scale up or down.

Compare the illustrated person with the lamp post.
Compare the illustrated person with the lamp post. Textbook diagram, Chapter 9.
Use the person as a benchmark to estimate the fence.
Use the person as a benchmark to estimate the fence. Textbook diagram, Chapter 9.
Compare the tree height with the people in the diagram.
Compare the tree height with the people in the diagram. Textbook diagram, Chapter 9.
Use the illustrated car to estimate the truck length.
Use the illustrated car to estimate the truck length. Textbook diagram, Chapter 9.
About 1 madult waist height
About 1.7 madult height
About 30 cmlength of a school ruler
About 2 mheight of a typical door
Units matter

A motorway length should normally be in kilometres, a room height in metres, and the thickness of a book in millimetres or centimetres. An unreasonable unit can make a sensible number meaningless.

Worked example · Easy

Estimate from a known height

A signpost appears about three times as tall as a 1.7 m adult. Estimate the signpost height.

\[3\times1.7=5.1\text{ m}\]

A sensible estimate is about \(\boxed{5\text{ m}}\).

Worked example · Medium

Choose sensible units

Estimate the length of a classroom.

A classroom is several adult heights long, so metres are sensible. A reasonable estimate might be \(\boxed{8\text{ m}}\), not 8 cm or 8 km.

Additional exam-focused worked example

Worked example · Exam-style

A bus is roughly 12 adult strides long. Each stride is about 0.75 m. Estimate the bus length.

Step-by-step solution

\[12\times0.75=9\text{ m}\] So a sensible estimate is about \(\boxed{9\text{ m}}\).

Practice: from confidence to exam-style

Work each question first, then select Show Answer to reveal the steps.

1Easy practice

Estimate the height of a classroom door in metres. Explain your benchmark.

Show Answer

Steps: A typical door is slightly taller than an adult (about 1.7 m). A sensible estimate is \(\boxed{2\text{ m}}\).

2Easy practice

Which is the most sensible estimate for a pencil length: 18 mm, 18 cm or 18 m?

Show Answer

Steps: A pencil is shorter than a 30 cm ruler but much longer than 18 mm. Choose \(\boxed{18\text{ cm}}\).

3Medium practice

A tree in a picture is roughly four times the height of a 1.7 m person. Estimate its height.

Show Answer

Steps: Multiply the known height by 4: \[4\times1.7=6.8\text{ m}\] Give a rough answer: \(\boxed{7\text{ m}}\).

4Medium practice

A truck appears 2.5 times the length of a 4 m car. Estimate the truck length.

Show Answer

Steps: \[4\times2.5=\boxed{10\text{ m}}\] The answer is an estimate, so do not imply centimetre accuracy.

5Exam-style practice

A corridor is approximately 13 strides long. A stride is about 0.8 m. Estimate the corridor length to a sensible degree of accuracy.

Show Answer

Steps: \[13\times0.8=10.4\text{ m}\] Round a rough estimate appropriately: \(\boxed{10\text{ m}}\).

2

Subtopic 2

Rounding to a given number of decimal places

Decimal places are counted from the decimal point. To round, locate the final required decimal place and inspect the next digit.

Rounding rule

  1. Find the digit in the required decimal place.
  2. Look at the next digit.
  3. If it is 0–4, keep the required digit unchanged.
  4. If it is 5–9, increase the required digit by 1.
  5. Remove all digits after it.
Worked example · Easy

Round to 2 decimal places

Round \(7.4836\) to 2 d.p.

The hundredths digit is 8. The next digit is 3, so 8 stays unchanged.

\[7.4836\approx\boxed{7.48}\text{ (2 d.p.)}\]
Worked example · Medium

Rounding causes a carry

Round \(12.996\) to 2 d.p.

The third decimal digit is 6, so round the second decimal digit up.

\[12.996\to12.100\text{? No.}\]

Rounding 9 hundredths up causes a carry:

\[\boxed{13.00}\text{ (2 d.p.)}\]
Common mistake

For 2 d.p., the answer must show two decimal places. For example, write \(13.00\), not just 13, when the stated accuracy matters.

Additional exam-focused worked example

Worked example · Exam-style

A measurement is 4.9996 cm. Round it to 3 decimal places, showing any carrying.

Step-by-step solution

The fourth decimal digit is 6, so increase the third decimal place. The carry passes through 999: \[4.9996\approx\boxed{5.000\text{ cm}}\quad(3\text{ d.p.})\]

Practice: from confidence to exam-style

Work each question first, then select Show Answer to reveal the steps.

1Easy practice

Round 6.734 to 2 decimal places.

Show Answer

Steps: The third decimal digit is 4, so retain the hundredths digit: \(\boxed{6.73}\).

2Easy practice

Round 0.0987 to 3 decimal places.

Show Answer

Steps: The fourth digit is 7. Round the third decimal digit 8 up to 9: \(\boxed{0.099}\).

3Medium practice

Round 27.995 to 2 decimal places.

Show Answer

Steps: The third decimal digit is 5: a carry passes through both 9s. \(\boxed{28.00}\) (2 d.p.).

4Medium practice

Calculate 4.6 × 3.47 and give the result to 2 decimal places.

Show Answer

Steps: \[4.6\times3.47=15.962\] The third decimal digit is 2, so \(\boxed{15.96}\).

5Exam-style practice

A square has side length 5.64 cm. Work out its area and round to 1 decimal place.

Show Answer

Steps: \[A=5.64^2=31.8096\text{ cm}^2\] The second decimal digit is 0, so \(\boxed{31.8\text{ cm}^2}\) (1 d.p.).

3

Subtopic 3

Rounding to a given number of significant figures

Significant figures are counted from the first non-zero digit. Zeros before that first non-zero digit are placeholders and are not significant.

NumberFirst 3 significant digits3 s.f.
52 6845, 2, 652 700
0.0072847, 2, 80.00728
17 0821, 7, 017 100

Decimal places vs significant figures

Decimal places start counting immediately after the decimal point. Significant figures start at the first non-zero digit, wherever it occurs.

Worked example · Easy

Large number to 2 s.f.

Round \(63\,482\) to 2 significant figures.

The first two significant digits are 6 and 3. The next digit is 4.

\[63\,482\approx\boxed{63\,000}\text{ (2 s.f.)}\]
Worked example · Medium

Small decimal to 3 s.f.

Round \(0.0047862\) to 3 significant figures.

Ignore the leading zeros. The first three significant digits are 4, 7, 8. The next digit is 6, so 8 rounds up.

\[0.0047862\approx\boxed{0.00479}\text{ (3 s.f.)}\]
Worked example · Exam-style

Identify an interior zero

Round \(20.049\) to 4 significant figures.

The significant digits are 2, 0, 0, 4. The next digit is 9, so 4 rounds up.

\[20.049\approx\boxed{20.05}\text{ (4 s.f.)}\]

Additional exam-focused worked example

Worked example · Exam-style

Round 0.00099946 to 3 significant figures.

Step-by-step solution

The significant digits begin at the first 9. The fourth significant digit is 4, so keep the first three 9s: \[0.00099946\approx\boxed{0.000999}\quad(3\text{ s.f.})\]

Practice: from confidence to exam-style

Work each question first, then select Show Answer to reveal the steps.

1Easy practice

Round 83 624 to 2 significant figures.

Show Answer

Steps: Keep 8 and 3; the next digit is 6. \(\boxed{84\,000}\).

2Easy practice

Round 0.006482 to 2 significant figures.

Show Answer

Steps: Ignore initial zeros. Keep 6 and 4; next digit 8 rounds up: \(\boxed{0.0065}\).

3Medium practice

Round 7.996 to 3 significant figures.

Show Answer

Steps: Keep 7,9,9 and look at 6. Carry through the nines: \(\boxed{8.00}\), with the zeros showing 3 s.f.

4Medium practice

Round 51 059 to 3 significant figures.

Show Answer

Steps: Keep 5,1,0; next digit 5 rounds 0 up: \(\boxed{51\,100}\).

5Exam-style practice

The mass is 0.040958 kg. Give it to 3 significant figures and explain which zeros count.

Show Answer

Steps: The leading zeros are not significant; digits 4,0,9 are. Next digit 5 rounds 9 up: \(\boxed{0.0410\text{ kg}}\) (3 s.f.; the final zero is significant).

4

Subtopic 4

Estimating answers to problems

A reliable first method is to round each value to about 1 significant figure, then perform the easier calculation. Your final estimate should normally be given to only 1 or 2 significant figures.

Estimation workflow

  1. Round each number to a convenient value, usually 1 s.f.
  2. Write the approximate calculation using \(\approx\).
  3. Calculate mentally or with simple arithmetic.
  4. Ask whether the answer has a sensible size and unit.
Worked example · Easy

Estimate a product

Estimate \(38.7\times6.2\).

\[38.7\approx40,\qquad6.2\approx6\]\[38.7\times6.2\approx40\times6=\boxed{240}\]
Worked example · Medium

Estimate a real cost

A club buys 47 shirts at $18.90 each. Estimate the total cost.

\[47\approx50,\qquad18.90\approx20\]\[50\times20=\boxed{\$1000}\]
Worked example · Exam-style

Is the estimate above or below?

Estimate \(4.8\times3.7\) using 1 s.f. State whether your estimate is greater or less than the exact answer.

\[4.8\approx5,\qquad3.7\approx4\]\[5\times4=20\]

Both values were rounded up, so the estimate is greater than the exact product.

Worked example · Exam-style

Estimate a quotient and judge direction

Estimate \(78.6\div24.3\) using convenient values. Is the estimate likely to be above or below the exact value?

\[78.6\approx80,\qquad24.3\approx20\]\[80\div20=\boxed4\]

The numerator was rounded up and the denominator down, so the estimate is likely to be above the exact quotient.

Estimating divisions and square roots with convenient numbers

Rounding everything mechanically to 1 significant figure is not always best. Choose nearby numbers that make the calculation easy.

For division

Choose numbers with useful common factors. For example, \(83.7\div2.87\) is easier as \(90\div3\) or \(81\div3\).

For square roots

Round to a nearby perfect square such as 25, 36, 49, 64, 81 or 100.

Worked example · Medium

Convenient division

Estimate \(294\div49.2\).

Choose nearby values that divide exactly:

\[294\approx300,\qquad49.2\approx50\]\[300\div50=\boxed6\]
Worked example · Medium

Estimate a square root

Estimate \(\sqrt{83}\).

The nearest convenient perfect square is 81.

\[\sqrt{83}\approx\sqrt{81}=\boxed9\]
Worked example · Exam-style

Mixed estimation with a root

Estimate \(0.62\sqrt{47.8}\).

Use convenient values:

\[0.62\approx0.6,\qquad47.8\approx49\]\[0.6\sqrt{49}=0.6\times7=\boxed{4.2}\]

Additional exam-focused worked example

Worked example · Exam-style

Estimate \(\dfrac{29.6\times4.91}{0.49}\) using easy numbers.

Step-by-step solution

Choose \(30\), \(5\) and \(0.5\): \[\frac{29.6\times4.91}{0.49}\approx\frac{30\times5}{0.5}=\boxed{300}\]

Practice: from confidence to exam-style

Work each question first, then select Show Answer to reveal the steps.

1Easy practice

Estimate 49.2 × 2.9 by rounding to 1 significant figure.

Show Answer

Steps: \[49.2\approx50,\quad2.9\approx3\] \(50\times3=\boxed{150}\).

2Easy practice

Estimate 318 ÷ 7.8 using convenient numbers.

Show Answer

Steps: \[318\approx320,\quad7.8\approx8\] \(320\div8=\boxed{40}\).

3Medium practice

Estimate the area of a circle with radius 5.1 m by using \(\pi\approx3\).

Show Answer

Steps: \[A=\pi r^2\approx3\times5^2=\boxed{75\text{ m}^2}\]

4Medium practice

Estimate \(0.79\sqrt{50}\) using a nearby square.

Show Answer

Steps: Use \(0.79\approx0.8\) and \(50\approx49\): \(0.8\sqrt{49}=0.8\times7=\boxed{5.6}\).

5Exam-style practice

Estimate \(198\div9.7\). Is using \(200\div10\) guaranteed to give an overestimate?

Show Answer

Steps: \[200\div10=\boxed{20}\] No. Both the numerator and denominator increased, so their combined effect must be checked. The exact value is about \(20.41\), making 20 an underestimate.

5

Subtopic 5

Working to a sensible degree of accuracy

An answer should suit both the context and the accuracy of the data used. Giving many extra digits does not make an answer more trustworthy.

General rule

Do not normally give a calculated answer to a greater degree of accuracy than the measurements or data used in the calculation.

Worked example · Easy

Area from measured lengths

A tabletop measures 1.82 m by 0.74 m, both to 2 decimal places. A calculator gives an area of 1.3468 m². Give a sensible answer.

The measurements were given to 2 d.p., so \(1.3468\text{ m}^2\) is unnecessarily precise.

\[\boxed{1.35\text{ m}^2}\]
Worked example · Exam-style

Context controls the answer

879 kg is the total mass of 13 people. Calculate a sensible average mass.

\[879\div13=67.61538\ldots\]

Individual body mass would not sensibly be reported to many decimal places here. A reasonable answer is \(\boxed{68\text{ kg}}\).

Think before rounding

Keep full calculator accuracy during intermediate steps. Round the final answer unless the question specifically tells you to estimate first.

Additional exam-focused worked example

Worked example · Exam-style

A measured length of 6.2 m is divided into 7 equal pieces. State a sensible quoted length for one piece.

Step-by-step solution

\[6.2\div7=0.885714\ldots\text{ m}\] Since the length was given to 1 decimal place, quoting \(\boxed{0.89\text{ m}}\) is more sensible than a long decimal; the chosen accuracy should suit the purpose.

Practice: from confidence to exam-style

Work each question first, then select Show Answer to reveal the steps.

1Easy practice

A measured mass is 4.6 kg. Is reporting it as 4.600000 kg justified?

Show Answer

Steps: No. The given value is only to 1 d.p.; adding unsupported zeros suggests extra precision.

2Easy practice

A calculated length is 7.836 m. Give it to 1 decimal place.

Show Answer

Steps: The second decimal digit is 3, so \(\boxed{7.8\text{ m}}\).

3Medium practice

A room measures 4.8 m by 3.1 m. Calculate its area to a sensible 1 d.p.

Show Answer

Steps: \[4.8\times3.1=14.88\text{ m}^2\] To 1 decimal place, \(\boxed{14.9\text{ m}^2}\).

4Medium practice

A journey covers 178 km in 2.3 h. Calculate its speed to the nearest whole km/h.

Show Answer

Steps: \[178\div2.3=77.3913\ldots\] The required rounded speed is \(\boxed{77\text{ km/h}}\).

5Exam-style practice

A shop needs 28 m of ribbon. Rolls each contain 6 m. How many whole rolls are needed, and why is ordinary rounding unsuitable?

Show Answer

Steps: \[28\div6=4.666\ldots\] You cannot buy part of a roll and 4 rolls are insufficient. Round UP: \(\boxed{5\text{ rolls}}\).

Chapter 9 practice

The early questions build rounding confidence. The later questions require you to choose sensible approximations and justify the direction or accuracy of an estimate.

A. Build confidence

1Decimal places[4 marks]

Round a) \(8.374\) to 1 d.p. and b) \(0.04678\) to 3 d.p.

Show Answer

a) The next digit after 3 is 7, so \(8.374\to\boxed{8.4}\).

b) The first three decimal digits are 046; the next digit is 7, so \(0.04678\to\boxed{0.047}\).

2Significant figures[4 marks]

Round a) \(58\,746\) to 2 s.f. and b) \(0.003864\) to 2 s.f.

Show Answer

a) First two significant digits 5, 8; next digit 7 → \(\boxed{59\,000}\).

b) First two significant digits 3, 8; next digit 6 → \(\boxed{0.0039}\).

3Decimal places or s.f.?[4 marks]

Write \(0.006748\) to a) 2 d.p. and b) 2 s.f.

Show Answer

a) To 2 d.p., inspect the third decimal digit 6: \(\boxed{0.01}\).

b) Significant figures start at 6: 6, 7; next digit 4 → \(\boxed{0.0067}\).

4Sensible unit[2 marks]

Which is the most sensible estimate for the height of a classroom door: 2 mm, 2 cm, 2 m or 2 km?

Show Answer

A door is a little taller than an adult, so \(\boxed{2\text{ m}}\) is sensible.

B. Estimate calculations

5Product estimate[3 marks]

Estimate \(62.4\times19.7\) by rounding each number to 1 s.f.

Show Answer
\[62.4\approx60,\qquad19.7\approx20\]\[60\times20=\boxed{1200}\]
6Area estimate[4 marks]

A rectangle is 7.8 cm by 4.2 cm. Estimate its area.

Show Answer
\[7.8\approx8,\qquad4.2\approx4\]\[8\times4=\boxed{32\text{ cm}^2}\]
7Cost estimate[4 marks]

Estimate the cost of 31 cinema tickets at $12.70 each.

Show Answer
\[31\approx30,\qquad12.70\approx10\]\[30\times10=\boxed{\$300}\]

Other sensible nearby-number estimates may also be acceptable if the working is clear.

8Convenient division[4 marks]

Estimate \(356\div58.4\) using convenient numbers.

Show Answer

Use \(360\div60\), which is easy and close to the original values.

\[360\div60=\boxed6\]
9Square-root estimate[3 marks]

Estimate \(\sqrt{67}\).

Show Answer

64 is a nearby perfect square.

\[\sqrt{67}\approx\sqrt{64}=\boxed8\]

C. Explain the estimate

10Above or below?[4 marks]

Estimate \(6.8\times4.6\) as \(7\times5\). Is the estimate greater or less than the exact product? Explain.

Show Answer
\[7\times5=35\]

Both original values were rounded up, so the estimate is \(\boxed{\text{greater than the exact product}}\).

11Division direction[5 marks]

Estimate \(191\div12.4\) using \(200\div10\). Is the estimate likely to be above or below the exact answer?

Show Answer
\[200\div10=20\]

The numerator has increased and the denominator has decreased, both of which make the quotient larger. So the estimate is \(\boxed{\text{above the exact value}}\).

12Newspaper rounding[4 marks]

A stadium attendance is 16 240 adults, 10 780 children and 8 190 seniors. A report says “about 35 000 people attended.” Explain why this is reasonable.

Show Answer

Round to convenient thousands:

\[16\,240\approx16\,000,\quad10\,780\approx11\,000,\quad8\,190\approx8\,000\]\[16\,000+11\,000+8\,000=\boxed{35\,000}\]

D. Exam-style challenge

13Volume estimate[5 marks]

A cuboid measures 3.82 cm by 5.13 cm by 1.94 cm. Estimate its volume.

Show Answer
\[3.82\approx4,\quad5.13\approx5,\quad1.94\approx2\]\[4\times5\times2=\boxed{40\text{ cm}^3}\]
14Mixed root estimate[5 marks]

Estimate \(1.18\sqrt{63.5}\).

Show Answer

Choose convenient values:

\[1.18\approx1.2,\qquad63.5\approx64\]\[1.2\sqrt{64}=1.2\times8=\boxed{9.6}\]
15Reasonable accuracy[4 marks]

A rectangle is measured as 4.7 m by 2.3 m, each to 1 decimal place. A calculator gives 10.81 m². State a sensible area and explain.

Show Answer

The measurements are only to 1 d.p., so giving many extra digits would suggest false precision. A sensible result is \(\boxed{10.8\text{ m}^2}\).

16Mean and accuracy[5 marks]

The masses of 9 parcels total 137 kg, measured to the nearest kilogram. Find the mean mass and give a sensible final answer.

Show Answer
\[137\div9=15.222\ldots\]

Since the total was measured to the nearest kilogram, \(\boxed{15\text{ kg}}\) is a sensible level of accuracy for the mean.

17Two rounding instructions[6 marks]

For \(0.094768\), give a) 3 decimal places and b) 3 significant figures. Explain why the answers differ.

Show Answer

a) Decimal places count from the decimal point: \(0.094768\to\boxed{0.095}\).

b) Significant figures start at the first non-zero digit 9: digits 9,4,7; next digit 6, so \(\boxed{0.0948}\).

They differ because the two counting systems start in different places.

18Estimate and check[7 marks]

A journey of 487 km takes 6.2 hours. a) Estimate the average speed. b) The calculator value is 78.548… km/h. Give a sensible final answer.

Show Answer

a) Use convenient values:

\[487\approx480,\qquad6.2\approx6\]\[480\div6=\boxed{80\text{ km/h}}\]

b) A sensible final value is \(\boxed{79\text{ km/h}}\) (or 78.5 km/h if the context specifically calls for 1 d.p.).

Chapter 9 high-grade checklist

Length estimates

I compare with familiar benchmarks and always use sensible units.

Decimal places

I count from the decimal point and inspect the next digit before rounding.

Significant figures

I start at the first non-zero digit and keep placeholder zeros where necessary.

Estimation

I show the rounded values I used and keep the final estimate suitably rough.

Convenient values

For division I choose useful factors; for roots I choose nearby perfect squares.

Sensible accuracy

I do not present a final answer as more precise than the information used to calculate it.

Chapter source: This lesson follows the five Chapter 9 headings in the supplied textbook. Estimating divisions and square roots is explained inside “Estimating answers to problems”, as it is in the textbook. All additional exercises are original practice questions.
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